Notification [x]
Minding Investments
Author:
Jay
Blog URL:
http://www.investingminds.com/social/blogs/jay01
Description:
Topical investment discussion, market comments, and stock analysis.
2010 Investment Strategies: Six Areas To Buy, 11 Areas To Sell
OFFLINE
The following is a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter which outlines Shilling's investment strategies for 2010.  A frequent contributor to the financial press, he is a regular columnist for Forbes magazine and his articles appear in The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times, among others. He is a member of The Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Japan Economic Journal) Board of Economists. He appears frequently on radio and television business shows.  Twice, a poll ...
Read entire blog post »
01/26/2010 0 comments | Add Comment
The Financial Trust Index
OFFLINE
In response to the crisis of confidence over the past year in the financial markets two university finance professors, Paolo Sapienzo, Northwestern University and Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago, devised an index, the Financial Trust Index, to measure investor trust in financial institutions.  According to Nobel laureate Kenneth Arrow, “Virtually every commercial transaction has within itself an element of trust, certainly any transaction conducted over a period of time.” ...
Read entire blog post »
12/08/2009 0 comments | Add Comment
Life Settlement Investment Returns
OFFLINE

In their unquenching thirst to make money and fill a gaping hole in their profits from the loss of the mortgage-back securitization business, Wall Street is now seeking to securitize life insurance policies.  (More on this later in future blog posts.) In consideration of this development, you can read about the risks and benefits of the Life Settlements market, as it is known, in the latest article posted on InvestingMinds..."The Unsettled State of the Life Settlements ...
Read entire blog post »
10/12/2009 0 comments | Add Comment
"Shadow Housing Inventory" Concerns Grow
OFFLINE

Concerns regarding the "shadow housing inventory" continue to grow as evidenced by the following analysis provided courtesy of Amherst Securities and recently appeared on Yahoo! Finance.  The housing inventory overhang continues to weigh on home prices and thus underwater home owners (i.e. banks who have far too much of this stuff on their books due to foreclosures).  This situation continues to be a drag on economic growth as banks are unwilling to lend (create new ...


Read entire blog post »
09/30/2009 0 comments | Add Comment
Exerpts from an interview with Fidelity Investments portfolio manager Jurrien Timmer
OFFLINE

Despite a widespread belief that the worst of America’s financial crisis is behind us, what lies ahead for the economy and stock market is not so clear. The so-called green shoots have neither fully blossomed nor turned to seed, leaving many investors in a wait-and-see mode. To help understand whether the second quarter marked the beginning of a sustained recovery or something else, Fidelity Viewpoints asked Jurrien Timmer, director of market research at Fidelity and co-portfolio manager ...


Read entire blog post »
08/24/2009 0 comments | Add Comment
Sell in May and Go Away: A Good Bet in '09
OFFLINE

Conventional wisdom, at least for as long as I can remember, has been that traders sell stocks in May and "go away" for the summer only to return after Labor Day (the official end of summer) to re-enter the market. As put forth in an article by Prieur du Plessis that can be found here on this Investing Minds website, it has been shown that over time the best period to be invested in equities is the six months from early November through the end of April of the following year.

Since we ...


Read entire blog post »
05/05/2009 0 comments | Add Comment
How I Use Options to Reduce Risk and Enhance Return
OFFLINE

A common options strategy used by investors to enhance their short-term return is to write covered calls.  By doing so, they take in premium and lower the entry price on their investment.  I want to tell you about another strategy I recently employed to essentially achieve the same objectives, but for different reasons.

 

Back in late September/early October, as the market traded near its highs, I began to become uncomfortable with my long ETF (SPY) position which at the time made ...


Read entire blog post »
01/22/2008 0 comments | Add Comment
Sloshing Around Looking for a Home
OFFLINE

Like the prodigal son,  the U.S. Dollar is about to return home.  At the turn of the Millinium, the Dollar traded nearly at parity to the Euro (1.0368€ to US $1.00).  At the same time, the S &P 500 was trading at historic high levels (1,498).  Today, eight years later, the dollar has declined to nearly two-thirds (0.68€ to US $1.00)of the value where it traded against the Euro in early 2000.   On Friday, the S&P 500 closed at 1,325, down ...


Read entire blog post »
01/22/2008 2 comments | Add Comment
Bank of America (BAC) Countrywide Financial (CFC) Deal Arb
OFFLINE
The January 11, 2008 announcement of the takeover of Countrywide Financial Corporation by Bank of America provides for another risk arbitrage opportunity (placing a bet on the close of the deal).  Risk arbitrage is the trading strategy of owning a takeover target and selling its acquirer short after the announcement of a takeover.  When a company buys another company with its own stock, the target company (the company being bought) receives in exchange the shares of the acquirer (the ...

Read entire blog post »
01/18/2008 0 comments | Add Comment
Seeking Yield?
OFFLINE
Short-term interest rates are falling faster than a deflated dirigible.  In a matter of a year, rates have dropped nearly 200 basis points with 100 of those points coming in the past three months.  Today, 3-month treasury bills yield around 3.15% with 6-month bills yielding 3.05%.  Longer dated maturities are even worse.  Two-year notes yield only slightly more than 2.50% signaling future rate cuts are just around the corner.  After the next Fed rate cut, likely to ...
Read entire blog post »
01/17/2008 1 comments | Add Comment
Time to Think About Preferred Stocks
OFFLINE

Is it time to start thinking about preferred stocks as a way to supplement yield and counter the volatile swings in today’s market? No other investment security toils in such obscurity as preferred stocks.  Yet today there is reason to give these securities a serious look.  Preferred stocks are financial instruments that combine the characteristics of both debt (fixed dividends) and equity (potential appreciation).  Some quality REIT preferred stocks have yields exceeding ...


Read entire blog post »
12/18/2007 2 comments | Add Comment
Risk Arbitrage Opportunities? How Risk Arbitrage Works and How You Can Take Advantage of It. Maybe?
OFFLINE
On Thursday, Nov. 29, VeraSun (VSE) announced it would acquire U.S. BioEnergy (USBE) in an all-stock deal.  Under the agreement, 0.81 shares of VeraSun stock will be issued for each outstanding share of U.S. BioEnergy, valuing the deal at $686.2 million, and an 11% premium based on Wednesday's closing prices.  The deal is expected to close during the first quarter of 2008 pending shareholder and DOJ approval. Typically after the deal has been announced, the spread between ...
Read entire blog post »
12/03/2007 0 comments | Add Comment
Blue Chip Stocks Blue Light Special...Get Them While They're Hot!
OFFLINE

Anymore, seems like it takes forever for me to get around to writing in this blog.  Guess I was getting over my food coma from Thanksgiving.  Have been intending for days to comment on the oversold condition in the market and the opportunity to pick up some great values in the U.S. stock market.  Wouldn't you know the market would have to go and rally over 500 points (DJIA) in two days before I ever had a chance to say a word. All things considered, and rally aside (S&P ...


Read entire blog post »
11/29/2007 2 comments | Add Comment
Lesson Learned
OFFLINE

After years of being an investor and an avid market practitioner, I have finally learned my lesson. Owning stocks is a bit like being a passenger strapped in the back seat of a car where the driver is the CEO (I guess this is why investments are often called vehicles).

As you know, drivers come in all flavors and unless you know the driver well enough and have ridden with them before, the ride can be quite bumpy, frightening and downright dangerous.  Being a shareholder of a company ...


Read entire blog post »
11/19/2007 1 comments | Add Comment
$90 Oil, Rising Commodity Prices, Falling Dollar...Deflation? You bet!
OFFLINE
Yesterday, I attended a luncheon at which Paul McCulley, economist for the Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO), was the featured speaker.  The topic Mr. McCulley chose to speak on was the current state of the credit markets and where we (the economy) go from here.   Mr. McCulley explained that the US economy just experienced a Double Bubble, one in the housing market and the other in the credit market.  The correction phase following the bursting of a Bubble ...
Read entire blog post »
11/14/2007 1 comments | Add Comment
What’s All The Fuss About Anyway?
OFFLINE
Last Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 367 points resurrecting ghosts of crashes past.  As it turns out, Friday was the twenty year anniversary of Black Monday.   The DJIA suffered a 508-point loss on Black Monday.   Many have been tempted to point to Friday’s decline as a precursor to something bigger to come.  A kind of “mini crash.”  However, that’s an unfair comparison.  The Dow is much higher now than it was during ...
Read entire blog post »
10/24/2007 4 comments | Add Comment
My Options
Blogs Home
Browse Blogs
Search Blogs
Create A Blog
My Blogs
Unbookmark Blog
Report
Best Of InvestingMinds
Spam
Inappropriate Content
Blog Photos
Subscribe

Bookmark